Bitcoin Technical Analysis: BTC Bulls Break Resistance, Holding Above $38K
While U.S. equities and precious metals remain flat, bitcoin has seen an uptick in value over the past day. Currently valued at $38,376, with an intraday range stretching from $37,547 to $38,804, bitcoin’s market capitalization stands at $750 billion. Over the past 24 hours, bitcoin has gained 1.5% against the U.S. dollar and 5.4% over the fortnight.
Bitcoin
Oscillators for bitcoin (BTC), as of December 1, 2023, show a mix of different signals. The relative strength index (RSI) at 63 indicates a neutral position, while the Stochastic is also neutral at the moment, at 80. The commodity channel index (CCI) stands at 150, suggesting neutrality as well. However, Momentum at 2642 signals positive sentiment contrasting with the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) level at 909, which shows bearish signals.
Bitcoin chart by TradingView
The moving averages paint a more optimistic picture. Both the exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) across various timeframes (10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 days) suggest a positive upswing in the cards. Notably, EMAs are higher than their corresponding SMAs, indicating a strong upward trend. The longer-term averages (100 and 200 days) are significantly lower than the current price, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment in the market.
The 4-hour chart analysis reveals a consistent uptrend, marked by higher highs and lows, with a notable increase from $25,977 to $38,839. The daily chart analysis aligns with this, showing a strong upward movement over recent months. Potential entry and exit points vary; a pullback to around $36,000 could offer an entry point, with an exit near recent highs or a more conservative entry following a daily close above the resistance level at $38,839.
Bull Verdict:
The current technical analysis of bitcoin (BTC) as of December 1, 2023, strongly leans towards a bullish outcome. The indicators, particularly the moving averages, suggest a robust upward trend. The consistent positive momentum in the market, combined with the reduced supply of Bitcoin and high investor confidence, points to a likely continuation of the upward trajectory.
Bear Verdict:
Conversely, a bearish perspective must also be considered for BTC as of Friday morning Eastern Time. Despite some bullish indicators, the mixed signals from oscillators cannot be overlooked. The neutral RSI and Stochastic, along with the contrasting signals from Momentum and MACD, suggest potential volatility and uncertainty.